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The month-on-month change in new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for goods expected to last three years or more.
| Published by | US Census Bureau |
|---|---|
| Country | United States |
| Currency affected | USD |
| Release frequency | Monthly |
| Usual release time | 12:30 GMT (UTC+00:00) |
| Impact rating | Low impact |
| Typical volatility | 10-20 pips on EUR/USD inside the first 30 minutes |
The Durable Goods Orders (MoM) is released monthly by US Census Bureau, usually at 12:30 GMT (UTC+00:00). These are the dates inside our calendar window.
Every release in the window has already been published. The next one falls outside the four-week demo calendar.
Core capital-goods orders are a direct proxy for business investment intentions.
The headline is dominated by lumpy aircraft orders, so the market trades the ex-transport series.
Typical volatility around the release is 10-20 pips on EUR/USD inside the first 30 minutes. That is an average, not a limit: when the figure lands far from consensus, or when it contradicts the central bank's own guidance, the move can be several times larger and can extend for the rest of the session.
| Pair | Why it reacts |
|---|---|
| EUR/USD | Minor dollar impulse. |
| USD/JPY | Minor; follows yields. |
| AUD/USD | Industrial-cycle proxy. |
Surprise is the released figure minus the consensus forecast, in the units of the release. Green means the figure printed above consensus, red below.
| Release date | Period | Previous | Forecast | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2026 | Jun 2026 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | +0.6 |
| 5 Jun 2026 | May 2026 | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.7% | +0.7 |
| 6 May 2026 | Apr 2026 | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | +0.1 |
| 6 Apr 2026 | Mar 2026 | -1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | +0.1 |
| 7 Mar 2026 | Feb 2026 | -1.0% | -1.3% | -1.4% | -0.1 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Jan 2026 | -0.1% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -0.3 |
| 6 Jan 2026 | Dec 2025 | -1.2% | 0.4% | -0.1% | -0.5 |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Nov 2025 | 2.3% | -1.7% | -1.2% | +0.5 |
US Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders (MoM) for United States. It is released monthly, typically at 12:30 GMT (UTC+00:00).
We rate this release low impact. In our sample the typical move is 10-20 pips on EUR/USD inside the first 30 minutes, though a large deviation from consensus can produce considerably more.
EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD carry the cleanest reaction. Minor dollar impulse.
No. The currency reaction depends on how the figure changes the expected path of interest rates, not on whether the headline is high or low. The same surprise can be read very differently depending on the central bank's current stance.